Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.949789 3.528220 4.174840 4.949007 5.848309 6.857591 8.073514
2025-11-02 2.014775 2.719063 3.591070 4.741096 6.207720 8.004420 10.359504
2025-11-09 1.461103 2.185972 3.164111 4.561141 6.482058 9.003945 12.533148
2025-11-16 1.151675 1.883336 2.945790 4.567957 6.940870 10.235552 15.093178
2025-11-23 0.933147 1.653588 2.770571 4.579037 7.370134 11.435254 17.698629
2025-11-30 0.758830 1.449852 2.588368 4.533358 7.683994 12.472725 20.143526
2025-12-07 0.594797 1.224913 2.327183 4.311185 7.677908 13.006644 21.860509
2025-12-14 0.495470 1.092502 2.194918 4.273703 7.948699 13.974527 24.308409
2025-12-21 0.418630 0.985409 2.086997 4.256812 8.241179 14.989848 26.902098
2025-12-28 0.386053 0.960664 2.126803 4.508939 9.022738 16.874558 31.063828
2026-01-04 0.344046 0.906443 2.099198 4.626957 9.569708 18.398448 34.728356
2026-01-11 0.314544 0.873927 2.109523 4.817648 10.266372 20.233989 39.058542
2026-01-18 0.271824 0.802093 2.028157 4.817986 10.610906 21.489453 42.506920
2026-01-25 0.223357 0.704151 1.872550 4.640760 10.585780 22.064570 44.780028
2026-02-01 0.183864 0.619350 1.731198 4.472009 10.554378 22.617857 47.046449
2026-02-08 0.160392 0.573034 1.673345 4.481151 10.891365 23.901540 50.770513
2026-02-15 0.140405 0.531640 1.620198 4.492809 11.232496 25.216531 54.642930
2026-02-22 0.120916 0.486273 1.548242 4.448134 11.442249 26.279553 58.092052
2026-03-01 0.098113 0.422831 1.414766 4.229759 11.231841 26.456346 59.782002
2026-03-08 0.084831 0.388260 1.355703 4.192930 11.437140 27.517934 63.333788
2026-03-15 0.073987 0.359186 1.307078 4.176331 11.687577 28.692880 67.194747
2026-03-22 0.071232 0.360908 1.352887 4.424230 12.608405 31.397064 74.431453
2026-03-29 0.065416 0.348417 1.351744 4.540278 13.211423 33.437391 80.378185